Sunday, October 12, 2008

Monday’s Surf – Looking clean but small (stupid Norbert)

Monday is looking very clean but the surf will be on the small side. I don’t think I am really going to call it a “surf” day but there will be waves and some pretty brisk N-NE Santa Ana winds through the first part of the day.

Our swell will be a mix of leftover SSW energy, some new SW swell (200-210), and some WNW windswell. Norbert is definitely looking like a bust at this point, I am not expecting much besides background SE energy from him on Monday. (Should have never trusted a storm with a name like that…I am telling you we need some storm names like Bad-Mofo or something like that…really how could you NOT get waves from Hurricane Bad Mofo it would be a crime).

Average spots will be in the knee-waist high range with some waist high+ sets. Standouts that can pull in the mix of swells, mostly San Diego and the better exposed areas of Orange County, will have surf in the waist-chest high range with maybe a couple of rare chest high+ sets at the best combo spots.

Winds look good for the morning. Mostly offshore to moderate+ offshore for the morning (N-NE around 10-15+ knots). Some of the more exposed areas around passes and canyons will have gusts near 20+ knots. Looks like the Santa Anas hold through about lunch and then shift onshore out of the NW around 10-20 knots for the afternoon.

Really the combo of smaller swell and a fat morning high tide is going to hamper shape tomorrow. The winds will make up for the smaller waves somewhat but I am expecting to see a lot of burgery shorebreak with offshore plumage at most breaks. If you try and surf in the morning expect cold, crisp conditions with some chilly water temps as well. I think that midmorning after the tide has dropped for a couple of hours might be the best call…a little shallower water with the offshore winds could be playful if your spot can pull in the combo.

Tides for Monday.

02:26AM 0.6’ Low
08:30AM 5.7’ High
03:02PM 0.2’ Low
08:59PM 4.9’ High

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

nice pic of el porto adam, tomorrow ?