Swellwise we are seeing a new, slightly building S-SW swell (190-210) from Tropical Storm Linda, some new NW windswell, and some background SW swell (210-220). It doesn’t look like much on the CDIP…but the mix we have in the water right now was putting a few fun sets into the exposed areas on Wednesday…it should look like this tomorrow.
Average spots, with only OK exposure to the mix of swells or are just limited to one direction or the other, will be in the knee-waist high range with a few waist high+ sets on the lower tides. The top S-SW spots, and the excellent combo breaks, will be more consistently in the waist-chest high range with a few chest-shoulder high peaks setting up during the better tides.
Winds are where things get a little more dicey…the current forecast run is showing some W winds around 5-6 knots for the morning, which is really a direction that does no one any good. Hopefully the winds can lay down a bit more tonight and we can dodge the bumpy bullet. At this point though it looks like we should try and find some spots that have some protection from the onshore wind…places with high cliffs and/or kelp…since they will be a bit cleaner than the wide open spots. Look for building NW winds 10-15 knots by the afternoon.
With some decent little swell mix forming up for tomorrow I wish that the winds were better looking…but even with the threat of morning bump I do think that it is worth getting up and checking it, particularly if you are near a decent S-SW facing spot, like those in Orange County, parts of Northern LA, and a few of the Northern SD areas as well. If you live a ways from the beach I would at least try to power through some surf cams in the morning to make sure your target spots aren’t too chunky.
Here are the tides…I am going to look around for the wind switch and see if I can set it to light/variable.
01:38AM LDT 3.0 H
05:57AM LDT 2.4 L (a pretty fat low-tide)
12:53PM LDT 5.2 H
09:04PM LDT 1.0 L
2 comments:
Adam, NHC upgraded Linda last night to a hurricane:
HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
800 PM PDT WED SEP 09 2009
...LINDA BECOMES A HURRICANE...THE SIXTH HURRICANE OF THE EASTERN
PACIFIC SEASON...
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1325 MILES
...2135 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...WITH LINDA FORECAST TO WEAKEN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
125 MILES...205 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.1N 129.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB
NNNN
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep5.shtml?5-daynl#contents
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