Friday, September 4, 2009

Waves for the weekend – windswell you are our only hope

It is not going to be a surf weekend...lack o swell will be the name of the game.

There will be a few weak waves scattered around, and any water time is better than sweating, but overall it is going to be pretty small. We are going to have a mix of weak leftovers both from the NW and SW as well as some local WNW-NW windswell that will slowly increase through Saturday night into Sunday. Unfortunately, as with most local windswells, the local conditions aren’t going to be all that great since the winds setting up the new energy come in right behind and junk it up.

Here is a current CDIP shot of what we got going on this Friday.

And this is what will be slowly crawling in this weekend.

On Saturday we are going to see more small surf in the morning...mostly knee high and below for the average spots. Top NW facing breaks, and the good combo spots, will be around waist high on the sets. There will be a little more size in the afternoon as the winds push in more windswell but shape and quality of the size-increase will be pretty shaky.

Sunday we might have a slightly more surfable morning as the windswell holds from the night before and the onshore winds sort of back down around sunup. I am expecting more knee high surf at the average breaks, but the better NW windswell spots should be more consistently in the waist high range with a few waist to almost-chest-high waves mixing in on the low tides.

Winds don’t look that great...NW flow is expected to increase this weekend (it is where the windswell is coming from)...and while it might cool off our air temps a bit, it will also junk up conditions pretty early each day. Look for variable onshore winds in the morning, mostly around 2-5 knots...then building NW-W winds around 12-15+ knots for the afternoon (with stronger gusts in some of the more exposed areas).

Saturday Morning Winds

Sunday Morning Winds

Like I said...not much going on this weekend...and while I put the NW windswell in the forecast, the fact that I am even talking about it is bad sign for our surf for the next couple of days. Personally I will probably take a longboard down the beach, push my kids into a few weak dribblers and try and take advantage of the warm water while it lasts. I wouldn’t spend any sort of quality time looking at the surf, or burning a lot of $3-a-gallon gas to get to the beach unless you are just going to cool off (and don’t care about the flatness).

Here are the tides...fat lot of good they will do us.

04:09AM LDT 0.4 L
10:12AM LDT 5.0 H
04:18PM LDT 1.1 L
10:11PM LDT 5.0 H

04:30AM LDT 0.7 L
10:35AM LDT 5.1 H
04:55PM LDT 0.9 L
10:47PM LDT 4.6 H


Anonymous said...

bummer bra

Anonymous said...

This weekend is purely for "soul surfers" and guys looking for a reason to get out of clothes shopping with the wife.

cheerupcheerio said...

ditch the board and swim... the water is 75... at least in Oceanside.

Anonymous said...

you know whats, i took you word for it and didn't wake up to surf. i checked the peir and dory fleets is chest high! damn! i love surfing blackies. maybe the wind swell is a little better than expected....

Anonymous said...

im dying

spencer said...

excellent fire photoshopping