Tuesday, June 24, 2008

Wednesday's Waves - Rideable but with more of the lame-o bump

Wednesday will be a surf day but once again conditions/shape will be on the marginal side for some areas.

In the water we will have a mix of new SW energy (210-220) and more local NW windswell. Wave heights will continue to hold in the waist-chest high range for most of the average exposed breaks. Standout combo spots, mostly in San Diego, will have some chest-shoulder high faces sneaking through on the morning tide push. Here is a shot of the Tuesday afternoon CDIP model...Wednesday will be very similar but with a little more SW energy filling in.



Morning winds are expected to continue the weak eddy that we have seen over the last couple of mornings. Look for mostly light/variable winds with some onshore NW texture for the northern areas (like Santa Barbara and Ventura) and W-SW texture for Orange County and San Diego. LA County will be marginally cleaner in the morning, well at least it will have better winds, the surf will only have slightly better shape than the other areas. Afternoon winds come onshore out of the W-NW around 10-15 knots (the usual). Check out the NWS/NOAA graphic forecast for Wednesday morning (8am). As you can see I am back to drawing ugly arrows in photoshop.




It will be rideable tomorrow but I don't think that it will be all that fun. The mix of swells is still a bit fugly...too much of the actual wave heights will be powered by the short-period windswell (4-6 second swell periods which really suck for surf). The SW'er will send in some occasionally decent sets to the exposed breaks but I think it is going to be inconsistent enough to make surfing the rest of the crap pretty frustrating. Your best bet will be to hit up a really shallow sandbar that can pull in the combo swell... I would try and get on it in the morning so the winds are lighter...if you wait too long and it will be pretty sloppy.

3 comments:

Unknown said...

Painful to see that Eddy is back in town. I was up at 4am, checked the personal weather station website that has beachside wind stations, and it was calm. Jumped in the whoopdie, and by the time I got to the beach (10 minutes) it was blowing SSE farking it up.

Paddled out at Blackies anyways, alittle more shelter behind the peir, was fun for the 1st hour, then wind swung alittle more S, tide bottomed, and it was time to go.

Anonymous said...

great forecasts! O'Side was crapola with a healthy south wind this a.m.

evana said...

Good stuff, great job with the forecasts. Surfline is crap! Keep it up!