Our surf will be a mix of building WNW-NW windswell and some background SW energy (200-220). The windswell will be on the rise through the day…but will mostly be coming in from a steep swell angle, so it will skip past most breaks basically showing in a few of the top NW facing areas. The lesser exposed spots will see a slight bump in size but won’t see much change overall.
Look for the average spots to hold around knee high with some inconsistent waist high sets as the tide drops. Top NW facing spots in Ventura, the south Bay, and San Diego, will be more in the waist-chest high range on the lower tides…and may see some chest-shoulder high sets by the afternoon as the swell mix increases.
Winds look semi-manageable for the morning…with light/variable onshore flow in the 5-6 knot range on tap for most of SoCal. Santa Barbara and Ventura areas will see building NW winds 10-15 knots coming through by midmorning and then gusts hitting 20-knots by midday. The rest of Socal will have 10-15 knot NW winds by the afternoon and some stronger gusts coming onshore by sundown and into the early night.
Like I said…it won’t be very appealing out there on Friday…just mostly weak, tide swamped windswell for the morning…with slightly larger and sloppier windswell on tape for the afternoon. Your best bet is going to be keeping an eye on conditions and hoping that we see the tide drop before the winds get going...there may be a little wiggle-room in the timing of the wind switch, particularly at spots in OC/SD…but I wouldn’t plan you day around it. Even if the winds cooperate plan on brining your small, really small, wave gear for most spots.
Here are the tides…
11/13/2009 Friday
06:12AM LST 5.9
H 01:04PM LST 0.1
L 06:59PM LST 4.1 H
Links for the regional forecasts…
Santa Barbara - http://socalforecastsb.blogspot.com/
Ventura - http://socalforecastven.blogspot.com/
Los Angeles - http://socalforecastla.blogspot.com/
Orange County - http://socalforecastoc.blogspot.com/
San Diego - http://socalforecastsd.blogspot.com/
4 comments:
Geezus it seems like we've had huge swamping morning high tides for the last 85 years at least . . .
seriously
In winter, we have extreme high tides in the morning, with drained out low tides in the afternoon.
In summer, the process is reversed, with low tides in the morning and high tides in the afternoon.
Hence, the iconic images of low tide, afternoon backlit Rincon & S Lane, mid-morning medium tide Malibu & Trestles, and swamped out, blown out late afternoon HB.
3-5ft fair to good at T-st this am. decent wind swell
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