Monday’s Surf – Was that the eddy I felt creeping in sundown and Sunday?

Monday is looking surfable…but like the post-title says…it looks like a bit on an eddy starting to develop, which means we can’t totally count on clean conditions (but at least the warmer water will start to push back into our region).

The new S-SW swell is showing a little bit of long-period energy on the buoys but I am not seeing as much as I would like at this point…



Oh I don’t think the swell is a bust or anything…just that portions of the storm got over estimated by the computer model (and yours truly) and the long-period energy will end up being a little smaller and less consistent.

So for Monday, we are going to have a mix of new SSW-SW swell (190-210), some steady, but smaller, S-SW swells from a couple of weaker storms, and some local NW windswell.

Average breaks are going to be in the knee-waist high range with a few chest high sets sneaking into the average spots that have a little better southerly exposure. The standout S-SW facing spots, and the best combo breaks, will have chest-shoulder high surf with some head high waves mixing in through the morning. Look for the top SSW-SW spots to see more consistent overhead sets to push in through the lower tides in the afternoon.

Winds look OK for the morning, the eddy will be back…so overcast skies and cooler beach temps won’t be all that fun…but the winds to do manageable Most spots will have variable/onshore flow…with winds in the 3-5 knot range. The standout, most protected spots, will see light/variable to light/offshore winds through the morning with the cleanest conditions showing at the spots with some better southerly protecting.







I think that the morning, through almost midmorning ,will be the best call in terms of cleanest conditions, unfortunately the new swell won’t have filled in all that much, but it won’t be flat thanks to plenty of other energy still hanging around from earlier in the weekend. I would try and stick to spots that have some SW exposure, and some protection from the winds…and maybe even think about bringing a board or two that can handle the drained out morning surf…and then the building SW swell and tide that come up in the afternoon.

07/19/2010 Monday
05:14AM LDT 3.0 H
09:53AM LDT 2.0 L
04:47PM LDT 5.4 H