We are going to have mix of fading WNW-NW swell from the weekend, building local WNW windswell, and some background SW energy. The windswell looks pretty hacked up with most of the energy in the 5-6 second range (which is getting almost to short to surf) and the longer-period swells are getting pretty weak…so the combo of the sloppy/weird swell mix and onshore winds isn’t going to be doing our surf any favors. The CDIP forecast makes it look better than it is going to be.
Sizewise the average spots can expect surf in the waist-chest high range with some inconsistent chest high+ sets on the lower tides. Standout NW facing breaks, mostly in the well exposed areas of Southern SD, will have surf more in the chest-head high range with some overhead sets still mixing in at times. Surf shape is going to be pretty poor…onshore chop and funky swell periods will keep things from ever being very surfable.
Wind looks poor on Monday. W winds 10-20 knots will be on tap for the morning…strongest from LA up through Santa Barbara and a little lighter in OC/SD. Winds are expected to increase…15-25 knots for the afternoon. Unfortunately there are not many places to hide from the W winds.
If the wind lives up to forecasts, and the rain that they have in there comes through, then I think tomorrow is going to pretty much be a write off. If we have a shot at surf it will be early in the morning…but I wouldn’t waste any gas checking it…just check out the winds and if they are anywhere out of the West then go back to bed.
No regional forecasts this afternoon…I am pretty much counting on it being sucktacular tomorrow.
Here are the tides…
02/22/2010 Monday (weird tide day too)
02:16AM LST 4.6 H
10:56AM LST 0.4 L
1 comment:
Saturday and Sunday were really good early at a few spots in oc.
Question, if the swell period is only like 5-6 seconds i cant imagine it have much refraction and all that so if the winds have been strongest to the north why is SD still getting most of the size?
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