Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Waves for Wednesday – Slow drop…but still a few fun ones

Wednesday will have some rideable waves but the race between the dropping high tide and the building onshore wind may keep most spots from getting very good.

WNW-NW swell (280-300) will be slowly fading through the day on Wednesday…dropping pretty quickly for spots up through Ventura and Santa Barbara while lingering a little longer down toward San Diego. There will be a slight bump up in S-SSW swell (180-210) that fills in throughout the day…but overall expect most of our waves coming out of the WNW.

Average W-WNW facing spots will be in the chest-shoulder high range with some rare head high sets at spots that like the higher tides. The standout WNW-NW breaks, mostly through the South Bay, South San Diego, and parts of Ventura, will have more consistent shoulder-head high set waves with a few overhead waves still mixing in. Thanks to the morning high tide the shape will be a bit soft and the bigger sets a bit less consistent…there should be some improvement as the tide drops through midmorning.

The forecast models are backing off the winds for Wednesday morning…so, if this latest cold front moves around like it is supposed to, we will likely see some clean conditions for the morning. Look for light and variable winds early on...then sort of moderate onshore bump picking up through midmorning and into the afternoon, eventually topping out 10-15 knots out of the NW.

It is nice to see the onshore bump that was forecast for Wednesday slipping out of the wind model…it lets us get a little more of this WNW swell before it backs down too far. Even though the winds look lighter I am not expecting “great” surf on Wednesday...it will probably just be one of those serviceable swells, rideable but not super exciting. Thanks to that stupid morning high tide you are going to want to stick with spots that can handle the extra water…either that or wait and roll the dice that the tide drops faster than the wind can come onshore.

I think these are loaded...

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…

01/27/2010 Wednesday
06:07AM LST 6.0 H
01:42PM LST -1.2 L
08:07PM LST 3.6 H


Jimbo said...

Hey Adam, didn't see you mention anything about water quality... what are your thoughts?

Thanks brazef

Anonymous said...

i would also love to know the water quality - will it be worth the risk tomorrow morning?

i kind of want an excuse to miss work anyway...

Adam Wright said...

It is raining pretty hard again so expect the water quality to go back to "nasty"...

What sucks is that even though the big rains last week probably blew most of the old junk out of the storm drains...there is enough water moving around that it is pulling in new debris, sewage, and toxins. It is starting to max out our ability to contain/treat it before it flows into the ocean. I am hearing of some sewage spills, like one down in La Jolla...and even some oil leaking in parts of HB (though that might not be from the rain)...so personally I think you are going to want to avoid the water for a couple of days...but if you do go in you are definitely going to want to stay away from rivers and storm-drain outflows.

Anonymous said...

what about a thursday morning session? water still too poopie?

And any more info on that HB Oil leak?