Monday, July 14, 2008

Tuesday's Surf - Slow pick up

Tuesday will be a small surf day...it will be rideable but slow and a bit soft overall.

Swellwise we are going to see a mix of S-SW swells, (one fading and new one slowly filling in), and some local NW windswell.

Most spots with some exposure to the SW'er will be around knee high with some waist high sets. Spots that will be working off just the NW windswell will be mostly knee high and below.

Standout SW facing breaks and good combo surf spots in San Diego and Orange County will have surf more consistently around waist high...with some sets getting close to chest high on the lower tides.

Winds are looking good...mostly light and variable in the morning with some increasing W flow around midday that tops out close to 10-12 knots later in the afternoon.

Here is a look at the latest CDIP Model...this is showing the "Nowcast" from Monday afternoon. By tomorrow morning there will be a bit more SW swell leaking in to the exposed areas.




While it won't be really all that good it will have more "push" than the weekend, particularly at the standout OC and SD areas. Is it worth $4.49 a gallon to get to those spots? No not really...but if you are close by those will be best bet.

Really it might be nice to get out and start to shake the dust off from this latest flat spell...we have more surf, both from the Southern Hemisphere and the tropics, on tap later this week so look for increasing surf to start arriving by Thursday and building into the weekend.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Any predictions for Sunday, July 27th, early in the morning (6-8am), Fletcher Cove in Solana Beach?

It is mid-tide (high tide is like 5pm?), it is a sandy beach area. I'm hoping the surf is small for the Solana Beach triathlon which starts 7am that Sunday, but wondered if you had any predictions this far in advance?

er said...

I've never heard of anyone asking for a wave prediction 2 weeks in advance (with a specific time)!!! Do you think he (Adam) is a 'Genie'?!?!

Danimal said...

er...take a chill pill man.

The dude asked politely and asked a legit question which he qualified with: "but wondered if you had any predictions this far in advance."

Adam Wright said...

Anonymous - Since it is still a ways out from a forecast standpoint I can only really get a good read on the swell coming from the Southern Hemisphere.

I was looking at the charts today and it looks like there is going to be some decent sized surf...probaby close to head high or maybe even a touch bigger.

This will be long-period stuff though so it won't have much of an effect on you until you are in the actual surf zone.

Unfortunately I can't tell what the local windswell, or even what the tropical swell might be doing at this point...both of those types of swells will play a much bigger factor in the open water because the swell-period is much shorter and you can get a lot more "movement" on the ocean's surface.

Hope this makes sense...and doesn't bum you out about your race...if the tropics and the local winds stay quiet you shouldn't have many problems.

Good luck!

Adam

Michele said...

Adam -- thanks for the info! I really appreciate that you looked into it. I'll keep an eye on your site for your surf predictions closer to the actual date also. Thanks again.

mj

er said...

Danimal said... "er...take a chill pill man"

K... no cheering. Read the latter comm