Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Thursday’s Surf – Getting funky now

Thursday will have surf…but it looks like onshore winds will keep it from being much of a surf day…stupid wind.

We are going to have a mix of fading SW swell (195-215), building NW swell (290-300), and increasing local windswell.

Average spots will continue to see waist-chest high surf with some inconsistent shoulder high sets. The best spots…both SW and NW (and combo) will have surf in the shoulder-head high range with some inconsistent head high+ sets on the lower tides.

Winds do not look good for Thursday…I am hoping the weather models are overcalling the morning but they have been showing these winds for the last few runs so we might not be able to avoid them. A cold front is supposed to pass over the region tonight…setting up some W-NW winds really early Thursday morning that continue to strengthen throughout the day. At this point it looks like W winds around 5 knots for most areas in the morning with some 10-knot gusts in the more northern counties (SB/VEN). These winds will build into the 10-20 knot range by the afternoon with some gusts around 25 knots at times.

Like I said…the winds don’t look so good tomorrow...but I am not totally ready to write-off Thursday morning yet. Both the NWS and COAMPS models are showing some lighter pockets of wind from LA on down through San Diego…those winds are still onshore, just lighter than other spots. What is going to make the biggest difference is how early the winds get to blowing onshore…if the W flow just holds up overnight then we are pretty screwed…but if the winds lay down a bit after sunset and then don’t start pushing onshore until close to dawn there might be a little wiggle room for a morning session. Since we have swell in the water it might be worth checking the cams or the wind observations in the morning…we might get lucky and find a little surfy pocket here and there.

Make sure to check out the regional forecasts for the details for each county.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…

03/25/2010 Thursday
05:41AM LDT 4.9 H
01:02PM LDT -0.5 L
07:31PM LDT 3.9 H


Anonymous said...

Or just boost off duh onshore slop

Anonymous said...

CDIP is looking real good and there isn't any wind/fog right now.

Surf forecasting is a tricky biz. Yesterday was supposed to be fair and was about as bad as it gets.

Today is supposed to be not that good, but my 6th sense is suggesting it may warrant a check.

I'll know in an hour or so.

Robert said...

Pretty clean in San Clemente this AM. 2-4 with light offshores down towards San O/Trestles.

Adam Wright said...

Yeah it is pretty clean up in HB this morning too. Looks like we dodged a wind-bullet...cause those pressure models looked really ugly.

I am hoping that they stay light enough to enjoy the low tide.

greg said...

man it was not clean in venice this morning. pretty bumpy but not too windy. hopefully it dies down and cleans up for tomorrow

Anonymous said...

Yeah newport was fairly clean, a touch of SE but definitely not bad, fun shoulder high peaks with still a few plus sets.