Swellwise we will have a mix of building S-SSW swell (180-210) that starts to fill in on Saturday, peaking eventually Sunday and Monday. We will also have a large lump of WNW-NW windswell building in Saturday night and holding through Sunday before starting to drop off on Monday…of course this is being set up by the gusty winds forecast for Sunday…so it looks pretty sloppy.
On Saturday our surf will average around waist-chest high through the morning…mostly at the better S facing spots…but showing at the better combo spots as well. The new S-SSW swell will fill in more as we move through the day…and will be able to send some chest-shoulder high+ sets to the S-facing standouts by later in the afternoon…but conditions may not hold together long enough for us to pick many off.
Saturday’s conditions don’t start off bad…mostly overcast and maybe a bit foggy…but winds are expected to be mostly light and variable through the morning. There may be some light texture at the more exposed spots, but overall it should be manageable. The onshore flow definitely increases throughout the day with W-NW winds hitting 10-20 knots by sundown and possibly seeing some 30-knot gusts at times.
Saturday Morning Winds
Saturday Night Weather
Sunday the new swell mix, both S-SSW swell and the new WNW-NW windswell, will peak and push some decent sized, but very sloppy surf into the exposed spots. Average breaks will be in the chest-shoulder high+ range with some head high sets hitting at times. Top spots, mostly the combo breaks and good S facing spots, will be more consistently in the shoulder-head high range with overhead sets at times. San Diego looks like it may be even bigger, it sort of depends on how much traction the NW windswell gets, but if it lives up to forecasts we could see a stacked up, consistently overhead, jumbled up mess. Good times.
Forecasts are calling for rain and onshore wind throughout the day on Sunday. Looks like W winds on tap in the morning around 10-15+ knots and gusts going 15-25 knots in some areas. Conditions look similar through the afternoon.
Sunday Morning Winds
Sunday Morning Weather
So Saturday looks like the best call (duh Adam)…it won’t be great…but the conditions should hold up long enough to get out and ride a couple…particularly through the morning. S-facing spots will be the biggest, but look for rideable sizes at the combo spots as well. Sunday looks like a cold-ugly mess...W winds are sort of universally bad for Socal, and even spots that have some marginal protection are likely to get pretty trashed. I always recommend keeping a “weather eye” on conditions…just because when things get this unstable sometimes the storm slips through the region faster than the models think it will…so there is an outside chance that conditions might improve (“more like 1 in a million llyod”…so you are telling me there’s a chance!). Don’t waste any time driving to look at it…but you might want to check the various cams/buoys/wind stations if things feel like they are shifting around.
Here are the tides…have a good one!
Saturday
02:59AM LDT 0.8 L
09:01AM LDT 5.4 H
03:29PM LDT 0.5 L
09:25PM LDT 4.7 H
Sunday
03:22AM LDT 1.1 L
09:24AM LDT 5.7 H
04:04PM LDT 0.3 L
10:04PM LDT 4.5 H
