Showing posts with label more rain. Show all posts
Showing posts with label more rain. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 9, 2010

Wednesday’s Choppy Brown Poo Water – that pretty much sums it up

Wednesday won’t be much of a surf day…but there may be a little semi-surf window showing in the morning at spots with some protection from the WNW-NW winds.

We will see a mix of fading W-NW energy (that peaked over the weekend and the little reinforcement that filtered through on Mon/Tues). There will also be some new NW windswell in the mix, as well as some very weak SW energy.



Most spots will continue to hold around the waist-chest high range with some inconsistent shoulder high sets showing during the lower tides. The top WNW-NW facing breaks will see surf more in the chest-shoulder high range with some head high sets pushing in on the better parts of the tide swing.

Weatherwise things still look a bit unstable…we had some rain and wind here on Tuesday but another portion of the storm (an upper-level low) is still on its way and is forecast to move over the region late tonight and into early Wednesday. This being said it looks like winds will shift a little more to the North on Tuesday night…possibly holding through to early Wednesday morning…if this is the case we will have at least a small window for cleaner surf early. The only bummer is that we have to push through a 5’+ high tide that also comes through right during the dawn patrol. Look for WNW-NW winds to come onshore around midmorning and then gusty/breezy NW winds strengthen to about 10-20 knots by the afternoon.



So like I said…not looking that great tomorrow but with at least a chance at seeing some semi-rideable shape in a few of the protected spots in the morning. Personally, when the winds/weather are so funky, I usually try and jump on the computer and check the winds (or the cams if there is enough light) before burning much gas getting down to the beach...at 3 bucks a gallon it is practically liquid gold.

There is a little size difference between the counties…so make sure to check out the regional forecast when you get a chance.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…

02/10/2010 Wednesday
12:43AM LST 2.2 L
06:40AM LST 5.3 H
01:59PM LST -0.6 L
08:22PM LST 3.6 H

Monday, February 8, 2010

Tuesday’s Surf – Swell drops a little and more freaking rain

Tuesday will be surfable…at least through the morning. (The water still looks like poo from the weekend so keep that in mind).

Look for our mix of W-NW swell to back down on Tuesday…particularly through the morning. Early on we will see a mix of fading W-NW leftovers from the weekend…enough to get out and ride…but smaller than the last couple of days. New building WNW-NW windswell will start to creep up by late in the afternoon and more as we head into sundown. Chance of rain moving in around mid-afternoon and holding overnight into Wednesday. Stupid rain.



Surfwise the average spots are going to see chest-shoulder high surf. The standout WNW-NW facing spots, in Ventura, the South Bay, and South San Diego, will see chest-head high surf with some overhead sets still mixing in on the lower tides.

Winds look ok for the morning…mostly light and variable winds early on…with a few pockets of light texture here and there. Look for building W-WNW winds around 10-15 knots with gusts hitting 20 knots by late in the day…chance for showers and thunderstorms as well.



If you don’t mind the sub-par water quality there will be some semi-clean waves on tap tomorrow…unfortunately there is another storm moving into the area that will start to whip up some more wind and rain. This is one of those inside-slider type storms so we won’t get a ton of southerly winds before the front…just the front and the WNW-NW winds that come right behind it. Your best bet is to find a spot that has good WNW-NW exposure and some wind protection for the morning...and then just sort of watching the rain fall and the wind blow during the afternoon.

There is a little size difference between the counties…so make sure to check out the regional forecast when you get a chance.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…

02/09/2010 Tuesday
05:57AM LST 5.1 H
01:28PM LST -0.5 L
08:00PM LST 3.5 H

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Big Friday – Enough already…

Lots of swell showing on Friday…but semi-stormy conditions and marginal winds will keep most spots from having a surf day.

The peak of the W-WNW swell (260-300) will hit on Friday…and really it will just be too much size for most beaches. Sure there will be some protected spots that will work on Friday…but the funky winds (not to mention funky water quality) may not keep the surf window at those spots open for all that long.



Pretty much all W-WNW facing breaks throughout Socal will be running in the overhead to well-overhead range on Friday. The better winter spots will be running well-overhead with some double overhead+ sets mixing in. The standout WNW facing spots of San Diego and the South Bay will go double-triple-overhead and see some occasional bigger sets. Ventura will be big…but may not see as many big-ass sets like the other areas…it looks like some of the swell has almost a WSW direction to it, which lets the Channel Islands shadow the region just a bit.

Current weather forecasts are calling for yet another cold-front to push through early on Friday…setting up S-SW winds around 15-25 knots with some squally conditions, more rain, thunderstorms, waterspouts…generally the same mess that we have seen for the past few days. A lot depends on how fast the front moves through…but there may be a chance for S-SE winds in the morning for a few areas, which means that a handful of breaks could see offshore/side-offshore conditions. This doesn’t seem as likely as the last couple of days, but it is still a possibility. Check out a couple of the wind models (GFS and the COAMPS)…both are showing SW winds…but the NWS is calling for weaker winds.





There will be plenty of juice on tap for Friday…but overall I am not expecting much in the way of quality surf since most spots don’t like the S-SW winds, and really there is just too much swell energy being thrown around. That being said…you may want to keep an eye on things tomorrow…much like the last couple of days, there may be a few nuggets out there, particularly if the winds cooperate by coming in a little more SE’erly than the current forecast shows. Personally, even as stir crazy as I am getting, I am probably going to avoid the poo-water for a couple more days…anyway let me know if you head out (or send some pictures if you get some).

Make sure to read the regional forecasts for more details on how the storm will affect each county.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…as always stay safe you guys.

01/22/2010 Friday
01:12AM LST 4.3 H
08:27AM LST 1.7 L
01:25PM LST 2.5 H
06:44PM LST 1.7 L

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Thursday’s Flood – rain, rain, go away…

The not-surfiness of Wednesday will continue into Thursday as more rain, onshore wind, and heavy duty storm swell work us over yet again.

The storm swell, a mix of short-period chop from all over the compass…and some hefty medium/long-period WNW-NW energy (275-300+), will actually build a bit more on Thursday. It will still be a completely out of control mess for most areas (well lets just say nearly all areas) so at this point we are just splitting hairs. Lets see…was that a 15-foot hacked up wall of death or 17-footer that just washed over the pier?

http://surf.transworld.net/photos/ob-pier-swallowed-by-rogue-wave/





Sizewise…it is a big stormy mess…well-overhead at most W facing breaks with sets going double-triple+ overhead at the really exposed WNW-NW facing breaks. There is enough energy being tossed around that there are waves breaking where you would never see them normally. Seriously the wind is strong enough at times that it potentially could have waves breaking pretty much anywhere…inside harbors, bays, lakes…I thought I saw some mice ripping the inside section of the giant puddle at the end of my street (one was a Kelly Slater mouse for sure!). I am not suggesting that we go and surf those waves…just that if the winds hold on, which the forecast says they will, we should at least keep an eye out for them.

Yet another storm is forecast to move in on Thursday...it is forecast to move in around midday but have the strong S winds that usually brew up on the leading edge of the front coming in pretty much from sunrise on. Right now the models are a little hinky on what direction we will for sure see in the morning…but it looks like S-SSW winds 15-30 knots with some 35-40 knot gusts on tap for most areas. A few spots, like some of the weirdly protected areas in both Santa Barbara and the South Bay, may see some SSE winds in the morning…but expect mostly hacked up conditions throughout Socal.



Make sure to read the regional forecasts for more details on how the storm will affect each county. I will give you a hint though…it will be rainy and windy.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…in case some you guys are worried about some coastal flooding

01/21/2010 Thursday
12:30AM LST 4.1 H
06:54AM LST 1.9 L
12:01PM LST 3.2 H
06:16PM LST 1.3 L

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

Waves for Wednesday – The big, stormy mess continues

Wednesday will not be a surf day…

Oh winds may not be too bad through the morning…but there is a lot of disorganized swell pushing through at the exposed breaks and none of it looks particularly surfable…mostly it just looks nasty.

We are seeing a incredibly strong W-NW swell (270-300 but mostly coming in around 290-300) impacting Southern California here on Tuesday afternoon (don’t forget the tornado watches!)…and this isn’t really the peak of the swell…this first swell will continue to build along the coasts tonight and peak on Wednesday. Here is the kicker…there is a second larger shot of WNW-NW swell lining up for the end of the week…likely peaking on Friday. Yeah…that wasn’t a typo…I said there is a bigger swell setting up for the end of the week.

I honestly can’t remember when I saw readings like this on the Harvest Buoy…



25-feet @ 16-seconds…(come on this is getting pretty ridiculous)…this swell will be pushing through the nearshore islands for the rest of the day steadily increasing wave heights along our beaches. Fortunately it won’t be quite as large as it is showing on the outer buoys thanks in part to shadowing from the islands and Point Conception…but still it will on the big side so please be careful, stay off things like rocks, jetties, piers, ect, ect...the ocean can get pretty hairy with this much energy pushing around.



Average W-WNW facing spots can expect overhead to well-overhead surf pretty consistently…with some bigger sets mixing in at times, probably even a few of the better breaks seeing sets close to double-overhead. The standout WNW-NW facing spots in Ventura, the South Bay, and South San Diego can expect consistent well-overhead to double-overhead surf with some bigger bomb sets mixing in throughout the day. The actual shape of the surf is going to be pretty poor...mostly onshore/side onshore winds and just the stacked up nature of the storm swell won’t be doing us any favors…and then also there is just the size of the swell…maxing out a lot of spots and chewing through most of the sandbars as well (fortunately the rain should set up some more).

Weatherwise we get another dose of storm activity on Wednesday…this one is forecast to be one of the stronger ones that we see this week. Current wind models are expecting S-SE winds 15-25 knots in the morning and then SW winds around 20-30+ knots for the afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms early and then just steady rain for the evening. Yet another storm arrives on Thursday…so yeah for us.



So expect the craziness to continue tomorrow…with the water quality still holding in the hazardous levels. (really it will probably take a few days without rain before it will clear up all that much). Again there are going to be some semi-clean pockets out there…maybe even slightly, almost, sort-of, surfable looking at the really protected breaks (the ones that are shadowed from the swell and like S-SE winds)…but after watch the extra-brown water flowing out the river for a while this afternoon I would probably give it a skip if I were you.

Make sure to read the regional forecasts for more details on how the swell will affect each county.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…hope you guys stay dry.

01/20/2010 Wednesday
05:48AM LST 1.9 L
11:12AM LST 3.7 H
05:51PM LST 0.9 L

Monday, January 18, 2010

Tuesday’s Surf – Building W swell and extra-poo water

Tuesday won’t be a surf day...oh there might be a few pockets of what looks like rideable waves through the morning but water quality is going to be very poor/hazardous…so if you are concerned about your health you might want to sit the next few days out.

New W swell (260-300 basically all over the freaking place) will be on the rise on Tuesday…with both long-period energy from the storm as it was further off the coast and the short-period slop that its winds are generating as it moves over us. Look for both Santa Barbara and Ventura to see a pretty significant increase in size early on Tuesday, while spots further south start off slower…but with San Diego being a bit of an exception thanks to its exposure to the swell directions on the previous swell mix. By the afternoon/evening all regions will be on the rise and we can expect some pretty large surf hitting all of the W-WNW facing beaches on Wednesday with the largest surf likely peaking Thursday and Friday.



Sizewise we can expect the average W facing breaks to see surf in the shoulder-head high range pretty consistently with some overhead sets becoming more and more frequent as we head into the afternoon. The top WNW-NW spots, particularly Ventura, San Diego, and the South Bay, will be running consistently head high to a couple of feet overhead in the morning and then larger well-overhead sets mixing in by the end of the day.

Windwise it will be pretty marginal for most areas tomorrow…OC and San Diego will both have predominately S winds in the 10-15 knot range for the morning and stronger squally conditions for the afternoon…along with more rain.

LA up through Santa Barbara will likely have more S-SE winds in the 10-20 knot range…which, if it is more SE’erly, isn’t the worst direction for many areas. I don’t know that shape will improve all that much but if we were going to see some sort of surfable shape on Tuesday it would be at spots that have decent protection from those sort of winds…likely the breaks in SB, Ventura, and LA that the SE winds blow more offshore. Personally I think that the water quality is going to be so bad that you will be taking a pretty legitimate risk surfing on Tuesday…but if you have to paddle out, then I would focus on these areas.



One thing to keep in mind is that these storms are pretty dynamic…and the wind/weather models are going to really struggle to keep up with all of the subtleties that can crop up break to break. Nothing is going to beat the Mark-IV eyeball in terms of gauging the conditions and shape of the surf…but with all of the weather and generally onshore/side-onshore flow that we are going to get from the wind I wouldn’t plan on spending a lot of time looking for quality surf. Anyway you guys probably get the picture on how I feel about the water quality stuff…I will be sitting the next several days out until some of the nastiness can settle out.

Make sure to read the regional forecasts for more details on how the swell will affect each county.

Regional/County Forecasts

Santa Barbara Surf Forecast
Ventura County Surf Forecast
Los Angeles County Surf Forecast
Orange County Surf Forecast
San Diego Surf Forecast

Here are the tides…hope you guys stay dry.

01/19/2010 Tuesday
04:57AM LST 1.9 L
10:35AM LST 4.3 H
05:28PM LST 0.5 L
11:56PM LST 4.1 H

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Southern California Long-range Surf Forecast – 12/10/2009

Forecast Overview

Looks like fading WNW swell on tap for Friday and into the weekend while a local cold front moves in and cranks out some more rain. Conditions look surfable through Friday midday but building S winds and rain will hamper shape through the afternoon and through both Saturday and Sunday.

Short Range (next 4 days)

Friday
The WNW swell (285-300 but still with most of the energy around 290-300) will continue to wind down. The WNW’er will be mixing with some background local windswell and trace SW energy. Most exposed spots will drop back into the chest-shoulder high range though a few of the better than average areas will have some head high sets on the lower tides. Standout NW breaks, mostly in San Diego, but at a few in Ventura and the South Bay as well, will see consistent chest-head high surf with some overhead sets mixing in at times. Winds/Weather: A new storm front is supposed to move in throughout the day but it looks like winds won’t get too funky right out of the gate. Look for E-SE winds around 10-15 knots for most areas and then building S-SE winds 10-15+ knots as well as some rain for the afternoon.



Saturday
It looks a bit sloppy on Saturday as more storm activity, rain and onshore wind, continues to push through Socal. Our swell mix will be the back end of the dropping WNW swell (290-300) and some local windswell/chop being stirred up by the storm. Average spots will hold around waist-chest high while those NW standouts still see some chest-head high waves with a few plus sets mixing in at the San Diego NW standouts. Winds/Weather: S-SW winds on tap for the morning, particularly up by Santa Barbara/Ventura, with speeds around 10-15+ knots. SW-W winds 10-20 knots move in later in the day. It will be raining most of the day but watch for a few small surf-pockets in the South Bay, SD, and OC through the morning.



Sunday
Looks pretty craptacular in today’s forecast run. Onshore winds and mostly leftover swell mix won’t be doing us any favors. Look for a blend of leftover WNW energy, local windswell/chop, and the ever-present background SW swell. Most spots will see poor shaped waist-chest high surf, standout NW facing breaks will see poor-shaped chest-shoulder high surf. Good times. Winds/Weather: W-WSW winds around 10-15 knots will hold for most areas, while the most exposed areas see gusts around 15-20 knots at times. Good day to stay in bed.



Monday
Conditions improve on Monday but there won’t be a ton of new swell and after all the rain the water quality will probably continue to suck. Swellwise we can expect an increase in WNW energy, both in terms of short-period windswell and some medium period energy from the system while it was a little further off the coast. Wave heights will be in the waist-chest high range at most WNW facing spots. Standout winter areas will be around the chest-shoulder high+ range…with some inconsistent head high sets mixing in. Winds/Weather: High pressure tries to build over the region…winds should lighten up in the morning…but will come back onshore by the afternoon.



Long-Range

North Pacific
As you probably read in the short-range part of the forecast…the WNW swell will be trailing off through the end of the week…but won’t really drop completely away as we see some reinforcement WNW energy from the approaching storm fronts that helps to string it along. Conditions will get pretty nasty over the weekend as well.





Further Out we have a storm forming up NE of Hawaii in the next couple of days that will send out some new WNW-NW swell (285-300) that will move in early next week…it sort of pairs up with some local winds to hold short-medium period energy into Monday…and then some cleaner, mostly medium period swell, into the middle of next week, peaking on the 15-16th. This one looks good for about chest-shoulder high surf at the average spots, and a few head high+ sets at the standout NW breaks.

Even Further Out the storm track remains very active (but very unstable as well)…at this point the long-range charts are hinting at some more NW swell for around the 17-18th …and possibly a slightly more W swell around the 19th. Looks like drier conditions, possibly even some light Santa Ana flow setting up through the middle of next week. These are a few days from forming so check back as we get closer.

South Pacific
This may be the most boring ocean ever…a small pulse of SW swell will move in around the 12th and then taper off through the middle of the month. Not much past chest high expected from this region at this time.

Next Long-range forecast will be posted on Monday, December 14th, 2009

Adam Wright
Surf Forecaster
http://www.socalsurf.com/

Monday, December 7, 2009

Southern California Long-range Surf Forecast – 12/07/2009

Forecast Overview

Stormy conditions and building wind/storm swell continue through Tuesday. Cleaner conditions and a much larger dose of WNW swell move in on Wednesday. The swell peaks on Thursday just in time for more rain/wind to start to arrive. More weather funk and WNW swell hold through Friday and then slowly start winding down through the next weekend.

Short Range (next 4 days)

8Tuesday
We seen an increase in W-WNW swell (270-300 and mostly short-medium period energy from this storm sending in the rain), while some small SW energy hides in the background. Most spots can expect surf in the chest-shoulder high range while the standout WNW-NW facing breaks, mostly in Ventura, the South Bay, and San Diego, see surf in the chest-head high range with some head high sets mixing in. Winds/Weather: The storm will be moving out on Tuesday but there will be some “clearing” NW winds moving in as the storm moves out. Looks like NW winds around 10-15 knots on tap for most of the day…possibly strengthening a bit by midday and then backing down in the evening.



Wednesday
The new larger WNW swell (280-300) starts to arrive on Wednesday mixing in with fading W-WNW wind/storm swell, and some background SW energy. Santa Barbara and Ventura will start to see new energy through the first part of the day but spots further south will be working with mostly leftovers through the dawn patrol. By the afternoon the swell will really start to get going and we can expect consistent shoulder-overhead surf for most W facing beaches. Better exposed WNW-NW facing breaks will be running consistently head high to a couple of feet overhead and the top standout NW facing spots, mostly through San Diego, will be seeing bigger sets…probably getting close to double-overhead range as the sun sets. Winds/Weather: Not bad overall…look for light and variable winds in the morning with some variable onshore flow through the afternoon. Mostly clear skies and clean conditions for the more protected areas. Water quality is going to be pretty bad from Tuesday though.



Thursday
The WNW swell (280-300) will peak and hold through the day. Expect the average W facing breaks to hold in the chest-head high range with consistent sets going overhead+. The better WNW facing spots, particularly those in Ventura, the South Bay, and San Diego, will be running in the shoulder-overhead range with sets going a few feet overhead on the better tides. Top standout breaks, again mostly in San Diego, will be in the consistent overhead range with waves going several feet overhead to the double-overhead range. Winds/Weather: Another storm front begins moving through the northerly counties on Thursday so Santa Barbara and Ventura will have SE winds 10-15 knots, with stronger gusts and rain on tap. LA down through San Diego will have lighter SE winds…and less rain…but expect the winds to build out of the S by later in the day.



Friday
The WNW swell will hold into the morning and continue to push in solid surf throughout the day. Sizewise things will stay similar to Thursday but with slightly shorter periods and a little less consistency. Look for more consistently overhead surf at the W facing breaks and the top NW facing spots to go several feet+ overhead. The standout breaks will have some bigger waves mixing in at times. Winds/Weather: More storm funkiness continues to move through the area…S winds around 5-10 knots will be on tap for most regions and stronger S-SE winds 10-20+ knots will blow up around Point Conception. Rain and cloudy skies will continue throughout the day…look on the good side…the local mountains will get a giant white poop laid down just in time for the holidays!



Long-Range

North Pacific
After watching the “biggest storm in the history of mankind!” (please detect the sarcasm in that last statement) form over the weekend I think we are right on pace to see a pretty legit WNW swell for the middle/end of this week. Do I think it is the greatest thing since sliced bread? No I don’t…sliced bread is pretty damn good…and really I think that with the weather/wind and now runoff issues the swell won’t be able to live up to the hype that is being heaped on it. In reality we are going to see a large, very consistent, lump of WNW swell that will have plenty of problems with tide, shape, currents, weather, and wind…enough that most people aren’t going to score a ton of surf out of it. Anyway enough of me being a Debbie downer…here are the details. Once again thanks to Mark @ www.stormsurf.com for letting me poach the occasional image...please visit his website when you get a chance (by which I mean right after you look at mine).



The big WNW swell (280-300 with the primary part of the incoming energy in the 290-300-degree range…but enough energy in the 275-290 degree range to get some sort of surf to most places.) fills in throughout the day on Wednesday the 9th with the energy peaking Thursday the 10th and then holding surf into Friday and the following weekend before it slowly fades out. At this point I am expecting consistent shoulder-overhead surf at the average WNW facing breaks…and then solid well-overhead to double-overhead sizes at the standout NW breaks as this baby peaks. There is a good chance that Central and Southerly San Diego County standouts will have even more size since those areas have more exposure to the NW energy.


Random image…this swell hitting Buoy 51001, the NW Hawaii buoy.

Further out thanks to a lot of energy from this big system (and a couple of embedded fronts that followed the big one) we will have W-WNW swell continuing into Socal for most of next weekend and into early next week…The size will drop off and the swell periods will definitely shorten up but we can expect rideable chest-shoulder high+ sizes at the average spots through Sunday. Even Further out in looks like another decent sized storm will form in the wake of this current system…possibly setting up another round of WNW swell for around the 14-15th…more details as this one forms.

South Pacific
Still a few background pulses of SW energy will be filtering through this weekend…nothing bigger than waist-chest high at the best breaks, but still some energy nonetheless. Looks like a slightly bigger SW’er (200-220) will move in on the 8th and peak into the 9th with surf in the waist-chest high range, but with most of the energy being swallowed up by the much larger WNW swell.

Next Long-range forecast will be posted on Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Adam Wright
Surf Forecaster
http://www.socalsurf.com/

Friday, February 6, 2009

Waves for the Weekend – A few shots at surf and good dose of poo water

I don’t think this is going to be a “surf” weekend but...and it is a big but...if you keep your eyes on the weather and wind, you might get a few rideable waves sneaking through at the more wind-protected spots.

Overall I think it is going to be pretty junky with on and off S winds, rain, and some nasty leftover chop. Add in that the water quality is going to be totally shot to hell...and it doesn’t make for great sessions. (I usually mention this...but most Health Officials recommend avoiding ocean water contact for a period of at least 72 hours after a heavy rain has stopped). There will be enough instability in the local weather that there may be periods where winds lay down or even shift more E-ESE as portions of the storm pass...not anything we can count on...but worth watching if you don’t mind the water quality.

Swellwise we will have a mix of W energy (260-300) and SW windswell from the storm and a couple of other longer-range storms. Wave heights will stay consistently around chest-shoulder high for most W facing breaks. Standout W-NW facing spots will be in the shoulder-overhead range.

Winds and weather will be pretty shot for most of the really exposed beaches...particularly the open beach breaks...and it will be on and off clouds, periods of rain, and a couple of pockets of broken up sunshine throughout the weekend.

Check out the latest COAMPS for Saturday and Sunday morning. As you can see the winds are sort of all over the place...and while these look OK right now I expect the model to completely change as the next run is computed (that almost sounds dirty...I just computed in that port-o-potty...anyway I obviously need an alcoholic beverage at this point in the afternoon ).

Saturday morning



Sunday morning



I wish I had some better advice than “keep an eye on it” but really with these types of swells/storms that is sort of what you have to do to get good waves. I think you can maximize your chances by sticking with spots that are both exposed to the WNW and protected from the S winds (which will be the more dominant direction throughout the day). If you can’t pony up the white-blood cells to wade through all of the extra poo...well there is always snowboarding (plenty of new snow on the mountain).

Here are the tides...have a good one and stay safe, especially when driving around this weekend.

Saturday
12:41AM LST 1.8 L
06:46AM LST 6.3 H
02:08PM LST -1.5 L
08:28PM LST 4.0 H

Sunday
01:33AM LST 1.4 L
07:35AM LST 6.5 H
02:46PM LST -1.6 L
09:00PM LST 4.3 H