It won’t be great...or all that big...but thanks to building Tropcial Swell (170-190) from now-Hurricane Guillermo, some weak SW energy, and background NW windswell, we will have a few rideable waves over the next couple of days. You can even see the swell showing on the buoys this afternoon. (Here is the Dana Point Buoy...which is a good one to look at because it is somewhat shadowed from the NW swell direction, which on the 9-band means that we get a “clearer” look at the s-swells).
On Saturday we will start off on the slow side...mostly waist-chest high through the dawn patrol...but with a few bigger shoulder high sets at the standout S facing breaks. The SSE-SSW swell from Guillermo will build through the afternoon and should be peaking by the end of the day. Look for more chest-shoulder high waves at the average S facing spots by the evening. Standouts will build into the head high range. One thing to keep in mind is the higher afternoon tides...expect pretty swamped shape...it is going to be hard for this short-period tropical swell to bust through the 5.5’+ high tides.
Sunday the Guillermo swell (190-210) will still be peaking through the morning with more waves in the waist-shoulder high range at the average spots. Standouts will be bigger, mostly chest-shoulder high+ but with some head high, and possibly slightly bigger sets mixing in during the early dawn patrol. The swell will gradually shift more SW’erly and start to trail off as we head into the evening. Again the high tide is going to be an issue.
Winds look good for both Saturday and Sunday. The morning winds on Saturday will have a touch more eddyish flow to them...so look for some slight S bump to a few of the more exposed areas in San Diego and Orange County. Sunday will be mostly clean with light and variable winds through the morning. Both afternoons will have WNW-W winds around 10-12 knots with some stronger gusts at the usual windy suspects. I know that it would cause incalculable environmental damage but man it would be good to have offshore winds every day, forever. We need to get to work on that.
Saturday Morning Winds
Sunday Morning Winds
Overall it will be a fun weekend to get in the water...nothing spectacular...but consistent enough at the exposed spots to pick off a few in the morning (before the wind and the tides try to kill it). Orange County, North LA, and North SD are going to see the biggest waves this weekend...though other areas will have a few decent sized waves at the S facing spots. I don’t think that it will be worth jumping counties (unless you live in Santa Barbara)...but if you are on the bubble I would head to an area that can pull in the S swell. Hopefully Guillermo will over-deliver on this swell...
Here are the tides...have a great weekend!
Saturday
12:23AM LDT 0.4 L
07:27AM LDT 3.1 H
10:35AM LDT 2.9 L
05:18PM LDT 5.6 H (swamptacular)
Sunday
01:17AM LDT -0.2 L
07:59AM LDT 3.5 H
12:08PM LDT 2.7 L
06:23PM LDT 6.0 H (and yet again)
3 comments:
what a relief. with school resuming on monday, i couldn't imagine not getting a bit of surf in before having to stress over finding my room number or losing my syllabus.
i'll see everyone out there tomorrow. don't forget to bring a pen and paper. after you see me surf, you're going to want to take notes.
...on how not to surf.
seemed to peak saturday a.m.; worthless on sunday
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