The SW swell (190-215) will be winding down on Wednesday while NW windswell continues to hold in the background.
Most spots are going to be on the small side…average SW facing spots will hold around waist high with some inconsistent chest high sets. The standout SW breaks and a few of the excellent combo spots, mostly through Orange County, will be more consistently around chest-shoulder high on the sets. This swell has been really fickle…so expect he tide, and the actual swell window of each particular break to play a big role in the quality of the surf.
Winds are not looking very good on Wednesday (hopefully now that I have typed that they will come in clean…I am going for reverse psychology today). The forecasts are calling for another upper level low pressure to move parts of the region, driving up the outer water winds and trying to strengthen the eddy.
For the morning look for W winds around 10 knots to push over Santa Barbara, Ventura, and Northern LA. S-SSW winds will be blowing around the same speed (10-knots) in Orange County and San Diego. Right now the COAMPS is calling for a brief period of lighter winds for all areas around sun-up…but I am not sure how accurate it is right now. Your best bet is going to be checking the wind stations or surf cams (or your trees if you live close to the beach) before committing to much of a drive.
By the afternoon winds will shift onshore out of the W-WNW around 12-15 knots for most areas.
So it is going to be a bit of a crapshoot Wednesday morning…the tide will be super low again and the winds are not looking all that promising…but we will have some swell in the water so we can’t totally write it off. Like I said above…we are just going to have to play it by ear, check the winds early and hope they come in light…then, if they do, wait around for the tide to even out. Damn when I put it that way maybe I will catch a little extra pillow surfing time tomorrow.
Here are tides…
06/16/2010 Wednesday
07:14AM LDT -0.8 L
01:54PM LDT 4.1 H
07:07PM LDT 2.2 L
