Monday’s Surf – Plenty of swell and a freaking low tide

Monday looks surfable…we will continue to have plenty of swell in the water… but we will need to keep an eye on conditions as we try and power through a really low morning tide and some leftover eddy texture.

Swellwise we will have a mix of peaking SSW-SW swell (190-220), peaking S-SE tropical swell (170-180) from hurricane Celia, and some background NW windswell. It looks like it will be biggest through the morning, but with plenty of size and consistency showing into the afternoon, particularly at the unshadowed SW facing spots.



Most average S-SW facing breaks can expect surf in the chest-shoulder high range with some head high sets showing at the better unshadowed breaks. The top spots, the best S-SSE facing beaches and the best S-SW combo spots…mostly through Orange County, will have surf in the shoulder-head high+ range with sets going a couple of feet overhead…maybe even a tad bigger on the best tides. Expect spots with good exposure to the tropical S-SE swell direction to be more consistent than other breaks.

Winds look ok…not great…but mostly light in the morning. The wind models are calling for light/variable winds for the morning, but they are giving it some slightly eddyish spin, which may add some texture to the more open/wind sensitive areas, especially through San Diego and Orange County. Look for W winds to pick up through the afternoon eventually hitting 10-15 knots later in the day.



Like I said, there will be plenty of swell in the water on Monday, probably a bit too much for most of the beach breaks…so it looks like the points and reefs are going to have the best shape. Oh it won’t be unsurfable at the beaches, but expect a lot of closeouts, plenty of current to paddle against, and only a handful of makeable corners. There will be a little bit of windswell in the water so if you are looking for smaller surf sizes you might want to check out the breaks that are more combo-y with SW swell and NW windswells. Expect the cleanest conditions in the morning but the negative low-tide is going to roll through right around sunup so you will want to keep that in mind when you pick your spot.

Here are the tides…

06/28/2010 Monday
05:34AM LDT -0.6 L (sucky!)
12:01PM LDT 3.7 H
04:46PM LDT 2.3 L
10:43PM LDT 5.5 H